-The gambler's goal should be to grind out a profit over the course of the season while enjoying watching Football. Football gambling should never be viewed in terms of "Getting Rich Quick."
- Successful football gambling requires hard work and homework. Make gambling decisions based on team emotion and situation, current angles and relevant trends, and talent, coaching too.
- Be smarter than the public. If 90% of the public says one team is a lock this week, the other team is probably the side to PLAY. The average gambler cannot beat the sportsbook. If they could, there would be no sportsbooks.
- Don't bet with your heart and your emotions.
- Start with a bankroll that you are comfortable with. Set an amount that, if you lose some or all, it will not affect your standard of living.
- Set a dollar amount to a per unit amount, for example: 1 unit = $100.00. Never bet over 4-6% of your bankroll on a single wager.
- Do not increase wagers during losing streaks, and do not be conservative during winning streaks.
Establish a line of your own on every college and pro game that you feel comfortable with. Throw out any emotional games. Then study the ones that are significantly different from the posted odds - these have the best chance of being your winners.
Tips on Picking NFL Winners
I. Early Football Picks:
As early in the week as possible, make a list of the coming games and make your selections. Go with your best guess, gut feeling, or whatever. Skip the games about which you are unsure. In making Football picks, whether you are an expert or someone who just likes to watch a game now and then, your first decision is often best.
II. The Questionable Games:
Go back and mark those Football picks you are not sure about with a question mark. With fewer decisions remaining, the focus on these games is increased.
III. Daily Review:
Tuck your list into a convenient pocket and carry it with you. Look it over several times a day. A minute or two twice a day is far more helpful than an hour of study.
IV. Be an Information Junkie:
Read newspapers. If you come to know a given sports writer, you will be able to pick up on the difference between his facts and opinions, and on any bias present. And some publish their Football picks. There are some shows on TV that may help. Your best bet may be the web. Sites such as CNN, CBS, and Nando.Net are very informative. What others have to say is particularly helpful in thinking about teams you do not follow or do not know much about.
V. Argue to Increase Your Focus:
Get into it about your undecided picks with a friend, or anyone interested. Or argue with yourself! "The Bears will stomp Detroit." "No they won't. Here's why." "How come I can't make a simple decision like this?" While this may seem an odd or novel idea, it is a real winner. It dramatically increases the focus on the undecided games. And the greater the focus, the more likely your final pick will be the right one.
VI. Watch Gambling Line Moves:
If it drops, then heavy bucks have been placed on the underdog. If it goes up, those bucks are going to the favorite. While public opinion may mean little in many cases, this part of the public is backing their opinion with dollars. If in doubt, you may want to go along.
VII. Make Early Decisions:
Make decisions as early as possible. Every undecided you cross off the list leaves one less pick to think about and increases the focus on those remaining. As the list gets shorter, you can run down it mentally without even looking at it.
VIII. Avoid Changing Your Picks:
Be hesitant to change any decision already made; more often than not it will be a loser. This seems particularly true in making Football picks.